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HV Squeeze — Best Stop-Loss & Take-Profit Settings (Backtested)

Every cell below is a full backtest of the same entry rules — only the stop-loss and take-profit change. Nothing is cherry-picked: losing combinations are shown alongside winning ones.

Backtest scope

Data span:
2024-05-03 ~ 2026-08-21
Universe:
50 top coins by market cap
Costs:
Fees & slippage included
Data updated:
2026-08-22

Union across the coin set — each coin contributes from its own listing date, so no single coin covers the whole span.

Best combination in this window

Stop loss 12% / Take profit 10% → +21.4%· WR 54.5% · PF 1.11· Max drawdown 15.1% · 3990 trades

20 / 30 combinations profitable in this window

Honesty note: 'best' here is picked inside this window — that is in-sample selection, and our own re-tests show in-window picks can invert in other windows. Read this grid as a map of the past, not a setting to deploy; a combination earns trust only by surviving forward, out of this window.

Return by stop-loss × take-profit combination

Stop loss \ Take profitTake profit 4%Take profit 5%Take profit 6%Take profit 8%Take profit 10%Take profit 12%
Stop loss 5%-14.4%
WR 54% · PF 0.93
5272 trades
-9.1%
WR 51% · PF 0.96
4961 trades
-4.2%
WR 49% · PF 0.98
4721 trades
+5.6%
WR 47% · PF 1.03
4412 trades
+8.7%
WR 47% · PF 1.04
4244 trades
+6.6%
WR 46% · PF 1.03
4149 trades
Stop loss 7%-10.7%
WR 59% · PF 0.95
5111 trades
-3.3%
WR 55% · PF 0.98
4800 trades
+4.1%
WR 54% · PF 1.02
4552 trades
+10.3%
WR 52% · PF 1.05
4257 trades
+14.5%
WR 51% · PF 1.07
4096 trades
+12.4%
WR 51% · PF 1.06
4007 trades
Stop loss 8%-9.5%
WR 60% · PF 0.96
5065 trades
-2.5%
WR 57% · PF 0.99
4751 trades
+4.9%
WR 55% · PF 1.02
4506 trades
+10.1%
WR 53% · PF 1.05
4218 trades
+14.4%
WR 52% · PF 1.07
4065 trades
+11.3%
WR 52% · PF 1.06
3975 trades
Stop loss 10%-6.9%
WR 61% · PF 0.97
5006 trades
-0.5%
WR 58% · PF 1.00
4697 trades
+7.3%
WR 56% · PF 1.04
4451 trades
default
+12.9%
WR 54% · PF 1.06
4169 trades
+17.6%
WR 54% · PF 1.09
4017 trades
+14.9%
WR 53% · PF 1.08
3929 trades
Stop loss 12%-3.1%
WR 62% · PF 0.99
4970 trades
+4.3%
WR 59% · PF 1.02
4660 trades
+11.5%
WR 57% · PF 1.06
4417 trades
+17.5%
WR 55% · PF 1.09
4136 trades
+21.4%
WR 55% · PF 1.11
3990 trades
+18.3%
WR 54% · PF 1.09
3901 trades

Methodology

Each cell reruns the identical strategy over the same data with only the stop-loss and take-profit percentages changed. All trades settle with fees and slippage applied. A profit factor below 1 means the combination lost money. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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