HV Squeeze — Best Stop-Loss & Take-Profit Settings (Backtested)
Every cell below is a full backtest of the same entry rules — only the stop-loss and take-profit change. Nothing is cherry-picked: losing combinations are shown alongside winning ones.
Backtest scope
- Data span:
- 2023-12-14 ~ 2026-10-04
- Universe:
- 50 top coins by market cap
- Costs:
- Fees & slippage included
- Data updated:
- 2026-10-05
Union across the coin set — each coin contributes from wherever our collected data for it starts, so no single coin covers the whole span.
Best combination in this window
Stop loss 5% / Take profit 10% → +1.6%· WR 44.3% · PF 1.00· Max drawdown 27.1% · 11393 trades
4 / 30 combinations profitable in this window
Honesty note: 'best' here is picked inside this window — that is in-sample selection, and our own re-tests show in-window picks can invert in other windows. Read this grid as a map of the past, not a setting to deploy; a combination earns trust only by surviving forward, out of this window.
Return by stop-loss × take-profit combination
| Stop loss \ Take profit | Take profit 4% | Take profit 5% | Take profit 6% | Take profit 8% | Take profit 10% | Take profit 12% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stop loss 5% | -15.2% WR 54% · PF 0.97 14246 trades | -10.3% WR 50% · PF 0.98 13311 trades | -5.3% WR 48% · PF 0.99 12648 trades | +1.0% WR 46% · PF 1.00 11828 trades | +1.6% WR 44% · PF 1.00 11393 trades | -0.9% WR 44% · PF 1.00 11179 trades |
| Stop loss 7% | -9.9% WR 58% · PF 0.98 13789 trades | -7.5% WR 54% · PF 0.99 12858 trades | -2.4% WR 52% · PF 1.00 12204 trades | -1.3% WR 49% · PF 1.00 11417 trades | +1.3% WR 48% · PF 1.00 11013 trades | -2.3% WR 48% · PF 1.00 10802 trades |
| Stop loss 8% | -7.3% WR 59% · PF 0.99 13659 trades | -7.3% WR 55% · PF 0.99 12733 trades | -1.6% WR 53% · PF 1.00 12080 trades | -0.4% WR 50% · PF 1.00 11297 trades | +0.3% WR 49% · PF 1.00 10894 trades | -2.6% WR 48% · PF 1.00 10692 trades |
| Stop loss 10% | -5.8% WR 60% · PF 0.99 13491 trades | -8.0% WR 56% · PF 0.99 12579 trades | -3.4% WR 54% · PF 0.99 11930 trades default | -2.6% WR 51% · PF 1.00 11161 trades | -2.9% WR 50% · PF 0.99 10767 trades | -5.8% WR 50% · PF 0.99 10568 trades |
| Stop loss 12% | -4.1% WR 61% · PF 0.99 13403 trades | -4.6% WR 57% · PF 0.99 12488 trades | -0.2% WR 54% · PF 1.00 11845 trades | -1.3% WR 52% · PF 1.00 11084 trades | -0.9% WR 51% · PF 1.00 10696 trades | -7.6% WR 50% · PF 0.99 10500 trades |
Methodology
Each cell reruns the identical strategy over the same data with only the stop-loss and take-profit percentages changed. All trades settle with fees and slippage applied. A profit factor below 1 means the combination lost money. Past performance does not guarantee future results.