Risk-Managed Portfolio
Choose an allocation, compare historical results and inspect the published paper record.
Hold Crypto More Intelligently
Not a way to beat the market — a way to survive it. Pick your risk tolerance and see the backtested allocation. Crisis-alpha, not a crystal ball.
Risk Tolerance
The robust, window-independent result is the drawdown — roughly halved (it also halves across longer 2018–2025 tests). The Sharpe advantage is real but window-dependent: Bitcoin buy-and-hold was unusually weak in this exact period (Sharpe 0.28), so the ratio looks larger here than in a strong bull cycle. The honest edge is survival, not a return multiple — trend overlay sidesteps crashes, cash buffer survives leverage, DCA accumulates. The cost: in a roaring bull this lags buy-and-hold.
Backtest on BTC/ETH/SOL with real fees. This is risk management, not alpha — and the drawdown reduction is the part that holds across periods; the Sharpe multiple shrinks in bull-heavy windows. Past results do not guarantee future returns. Verify it yourself.
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We Run It Ourselves. Here's the Real Record.
We don't just backtest. This git-timestamped paper record (Jun 26, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026) keeps accumulating, and it is the track we publish — we do not publish information about real-money operation until the feature is complete. The figures below are the published snapshot of that window, preserved as measured, win or lose.
Lower exposure = the strategy de-risked into cash (crash avoidance, as designed).
Every Paper Track We Run — Win or Lose
Not just the winner. Every paper track we run, including the ones losing money right now. That's the whole point of "Don't believe — verify."