ATR Breakout Short — Best Stop-Loss & Take-Profit Settings (Backtested)

Every cell below is a full backtest of the same entry rules — only the stop-loss and take-profit change. Nothing is cherry-picked: losing combinations are shown alongside winning ones.

Backtest scope

Data span:
2023-12-14 ~ 2026-10-04
Universe:
50 top coins by market cap
Costs:
Fees & slippage included
Data updated:
2026-10-05

Union across the coin set — each coin contributes from wherever our collected data for it starts, so no single coin covers the whole span.

Best combination in this window

Stop loss 5% / Take profit 8% → +10.9%· WR 44.5% · PF 1.09· Max drawdown 14.4% · 2739 trades

16 / 30 combinations profitable in this window

Honesty note: 'best' here is picked inside this window — that is in-sample selection, and our own re-tests show in-window picks can invert in other windows. Read this grid as a map of the past, not a setting to deploy; a combination earns trust only by surviving forward, out of this window.

Return by stop-loss × take-profit combination

Stop loss \ Take profitTake profit 4%Take profit 5%Take profit 6%Take profit 8%Take profit 10%Take profit 12%
Stop loss 5%-1.5%
WR 54% · PF 0.99
2899 trades
+2.6%
WR 50% · PF 1.02
2841 trades
+6.3%
WR 48% · PF 1.05
2796 trades
+10.9%
WR 45% · PF 1.09
2739 trades
+4.7%
WR 42% · PF 1.04
2667 trades
-1.5%
WR 40% · PF 0.99
2619 trades
Stop loss 7%+0.1%
WR 57% · PF 1.00
2880 trades
+3.0%
WR 54% · PF 1.03
2820 trades
+5.1%
WR 51% · PF 1.04
2774 trades
+9.2%
WR 48% · PF 1.07
2719 trades
+1.8%
WR 45% · PF 1.01
2644 trades
-4.4%
WR 44% · PF 0.97
2593 trades
Stop loss 8%-1.0%
WR 58% · PF 0.99
2878 trades
+2.4%
WR 55% · PF 1.02
2818 trades
+4.4%
WR 52% · PF 1.03
2772 trades
+8.2%
WR 49% · PF 1.06
2716 trades
+0.6%
WR 46% · PF 1.00
2641 trades
-5.4%
WR 44% · PF 0.96
2590 trades
Stop loss 10%-3.8%
WR 59% · PF 0.97
2874 trades
-0.2%
WR 55% · PF 1.00
2814 trades
+2.1%
WR 53% · PF 1.02
2766 trades
+4.7%
WR 49% · PF 1.03
2709 trades
-2.2%
WR 47% · PF 0.98
2634 trades
-8.2%
WR 45% · PF 0.94
2583 trades
Stop loss 12%-7.6%
WR 59% · PF 0.94
2874 trades
-4.8%
WR 56% · PF 0.96
2814 trades
-2.0%
WR 53% · PF 0.99
2766 trades
+1.8%
WR 50% · PF 1.01
2709 trades
-5.3%
WR 47% · PF 0.96
2634 trades
-12.1%
WR 45% · PF 0.92
2581 trades

Methodology

Each cell reruns the identical strategy over the same data with only the stop-loss and take-profit percentages changed. All trades settle with fees and slippage applied. A profit factor below 1 means the combination lost money. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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