XAU(XAU/USDT)
Strategy simulation for XAU — Stochastic Overbought SHORT. Analyze the full OHLCV history we have collected for it (up to 2.9 years) with entry/exit signals, equity curve, and per-trade breakdown.
What this asset is — and is not
- This is a tokenized perpetual futures contract, not the physical commodity. It carries no claim to physical delivery or custody of the underlying.
- Issuer and tracking risk: the token's price can diverge from the underlying reference price, and the product depends on the issuing venue remaining solvent and listed.
- Not available to users in the United States or the European Union.
- Short trading history: 7,165 hourly candles since 2025-12-11 — under 1 year of 1H data. Backtest sample sizes on this listing may be too small for reliable conclusions.
Market snapshot
$4.1K
Price
+0.14%
24h change
+0.54%
7d change
24h volume
$280.1M
Backtest data
2025-12-11 → 2026-10-05 · 7,165 hourly candles
7-day trend
At the snapshot time shown below, XAU (XAU/USDT) traded at $4.1K, moving +0.14% over the past 24 hours on $280.1M of 24-hour futures volume. Market-cap rank is not tracked for this listing.
These figures are a market snapshot (exchange tickers plus CoinGecko market data), separate from the historical candles our backtests use, and are refreshed about every 60 minutes.
Over the last 7 days (12-point sparkline), XAU traded between $4,123.8 and $4,191.9 — a 1.7% low-to-high spread. The backtest dataset runs 2025-12-11 → 2026-10-05: 298 days, 7,165 1H candles — 100.0% of the theoretical hourly grid for that span.
Data as of 2026-10-05 22:02 UTC — build-time values: price and market figures from exchange tickers and CoinGecko; candle coverage from the backtest dataset.
Strategies to test on XAU
No strategy currently meets our verification bar. Strategies below it stay listed with their latest verdict.
How our strategy actually did on XAU/USDT alone
EXPERIMENTALStochastic Overbought SHORT · SL 8% / TP 8% · max 48 bars · 1h · 2025-12-11 → 2026-10-04 · 7,137 bars
- Trades
- 46
- Win rate
- 32.6%
- This-coin-only PF
- 0.49
- Sum of trade returns (not compounded)
- -18.1%
Exits: TP 0 · SL 0 · timeout 46 (100%) · timeout = closed at the 48-bar cap, usually a small win or loss — this is how win rate and summed return can point in different directions
This cell is XAU/USDT by itself, hourly candles, fees and slippage included. Most coins lose here — that is the point of publishing it. · measured 2026-10-04
Our simulator presets are research results — none currently meets our unified verification bar (full 2-year backtest, out-of-sample hold-out, and a 3-window walk-forward). Each is measured on the top 10 coins by market cap. Coin-by-coin results vary: run any of them on XAU yourself, same engine, real fees, and see the honest verdict.
FAQ
Which strategies can I test on XAU?▾
Every simulator preset — including the published failures — can be run directly on XAU/USDT. None currently meets our verification bar: a full 2-year backtest, out-of-sample testing, and a 3-window walk-forward on the live engine.
How reliable is the XAU backtest?▾
PRUVIQ backtests use every 1-hour OHLCV bar we have collected for the pair (up to 2.9 years; source: Binance and OKX historical candles, with current updates from OKX USDT-SWAP; historical source boundaries vary by symbol and timestamp) — the left edge is where our collection starts, not where the pair first traded — with real fees and tiered slippage. A preset is marked verified only if it also passes out-of-sample and walk-forward gates. No look-ahead bias — only completed candles are used for signals.
Is it free to simulate XAU?▾
Yes. PRUVIQ is 100% free. You can simulate the BB Squeeze strategy on any supported coin, adjust parameters, and view detailed equity curves and trade logs — no account required.
Coins with similar 24h volume
Similar liquidity means similar backtest fill assumptions — these are the closest comparables to XAU/USDT.