{
  "generated_at": "2026-07-12T00:33:54Z",
  "sources": [
    "strategy_verdicts.json",
    "research_ledger.json"
  ],
  "methodology": {
    "arbiter": "excess_net_beta_strip",
    "cost_rt": 0.0056,
    "test_battery_gates": 9,
    "verdicts_updated": "2026-06-20",
    "campaigns_updated": "2026-06-21"
  },
  "totals": {
    "strategy_families": 17,
    "strategy_families_failed": 17,
    "research_campaigns": 15,
    "simulated_trades": 7229294
  },
  "strategies": [
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      "id": "momentum",
      "trades": 1524665,
      "win_rate": 48,
      "raw_net_pct": -0.64,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.578,
      "verdict": "FAIL_BETA"
    },
    {
      "id": "ma_cross",
      "trades": 30177,
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      "raw_net_pct": -0.794,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.586,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "macd",
      "trades": 119404,
      "win_rate": 50,
      "raw_net_pct": -0.432,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.563,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "rsi_oversold",
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      "win_rate": 47,
      "raw_net_pct": 0.012,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.506,
      "verdict": "FAIL_BETA"
    },
    {
      "id": "donchian",
      "trades": 139692,
      "win_rate": 47,
      "raw_net_pct": -0.635,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.572,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "mean_reversion",
      "trades": 179095,
      "win_rate": 53,
      "raw_net_pct": -0.344,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.565,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "bollinger",
      "trades": 171288,
      "win_rate": 54,
      "raw_net_pct": -0.354,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.56,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "keltner",
      "trades": 396773,
      "win_rate": 40,
      "raw_net_pct": -0.769,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.58,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "atr_breakout",
      "trades": 150004,
      "win_rate": 48,
      "raw_net_pct": -0.62,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.567,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "supertrend",
      "trades": 8456,
      "win_rate": 37,
      "raw_net_pct": -2.608,
      "excess_net_pct": -1.036,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "ichimoku",
      "trades": 976246,
      "win_rate": 49,
      "raw_net_pct": -0.612,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.543,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "heikin_ashi",
      "trades": 1527429,
      "win_rate": 50,
      "raw_net_pct": -0.514,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.554,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "stoch_rsi",
      "trades": 197062,
      "win_rate": 51,
      "raw_net_pct": -0.576,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.556,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "adx",
      "trades": 1526342,
      "win_rate": 48,
      "raw_net_pct": -0.654,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.581,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "trendline_touch",
      "trades": 116400,
      "win_rate": 39,
      "raw_net_pct": -0.225,
      "excess_net_pct": -0.062,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "triangle_breakout",
      "trades": null,
      "win_rate": null,
      "raw_net_pct": null,
      "excess_net_pct": null,
      "verdict": "FAIL"
    },
    {
      "id": "consensus_voting",
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      "win_rate": 55,
      "raw_net_pct": null,
      "excess_net_pct": -1.17,
      "verdict": "FAIL_BETA"
    }
  ],
  "campaigns": [
    {
      "id": "dir-indicators",
      "axis": "directional",
      "verdict": "BETA",
      "date": "2026-06-20"
    },
    {
      "id": "dir-patterns",
      "axis": "directional",
      "verdict": "BETA",
      "date": "2026-06-20"
    },
    {
      "id": "dir-consensus",
      "axis": "directional",
      "verdict": "BETA",
      "date": "2026-06-19"
    },
    {
      "id": "dir-bb-ichimoku",
      "axis": "directional",
      "verdict": "BETA",
      "date": "2026-06-20"
    },
    {
      "id": "dir-alpha-tf",
      "axis": "directional",
      "verdict": "BETA",
      "date": "2026-06-20"
    },
    {
      "id": "xs-momentum",
      "axis": "cross-sectional",
      "verdict": "ARTIFACT",
      "date": "2026-06-20"
    },
    {
      "id": "xs-reversal",
      "axis": "cross-sectional",
      "verdict": "ARTIFACT",
      "date": "2026-06-20"
    },
    {
      "id": "xs-volume",
      "axis": "cross-sectional",
      "verdict": "ARTIFACT",
      "date": "2026-06-20"
    },
    {
      "id": "xs-lowrisk",
      "axis": "cross-sectional",
      "verdict": "BETA",
      "date": "2026-06-20"
    },
    {
      "id": "vrp-shortvol",
      "axis": "options",
      "verdict": "STRONG_LEAD",
      "date": "2026-06-20"
    },
    {
      "id": "funding-carry",
      "axis": "carry",
      "verdict": "ARMED_WAITING",
      "date": "2026-06-14"
    },
    {
      "id": "nonprice-forward",
      "axis": "non-price",
      "verdict": "GATED",
      "date": "2026-06-14"
    },
    {
      "id": "dca",
      "axis": "beta-accumulation",
      "verdict": "LIVE",
      "date": "2026-06-20"
    },
    {
      "id": "dir-signal-flip-exit",
      "axis": "directional",
      "verdict": "MANAGED_BETA",
      "date": "2026-06-21"
    },
    {
      "id": "dir-entry-exit-matrix",
      "axis": "directional",
      "verdict": "BETA",
      "date": "2026-06-21"
    }
  ]
}